The weather for the SE US looks great this weekend. Pleasant temperatures and no precip will make for good outdoor conditions. Warmer spring weather will be on many minds, but not so fast!! Long range outlooks look ominous for the following weekend. The way the computer weather models have been flip flopping, I'll hold off on making a forecast, but it's worth keeping a BIG eye on.  Could it be the last hurrah for winter..possibly!  Stay tuned....

Could we have a late arriving spring in '08?  I think so, at least in terms of March's weather. Many long range forecasting tools indicate a cold March for much of the east coast. It's difficult to tell if this cold air will combine with any moisture and lead to winter precip, but it's worth watching, especially early in the month.

In the more short term range, a deep east coast trough will develop later next week bringing another spell of below n0rmal temperatures. Since there is no blocking taking place, the trough will be rather progressive in nature and scoot out by late next weekend. The models have been shaky, at best, in the mid range, so it's difficult to pinpoint exact details beyond 72hrs.

Boy,  have I been lax in updating the blog and website.  I've had quite a bit going on lately including vacation, sick kids, and taking over as president of my triathlon club.  I plan to update the forecasts much more frequently from now on. I've also made some more changes to the website.  For now, I'm going to give a national overview for the upcoming weekend and a more specific forecast for the southeast US.  I'm focussing on the weekends since this is when 99% of the races are held. I'm also going to be more specific for the southeast since this is where I live .  All of this is in the infancy stages and I'm sure will undergo many more changes in the future.

If there is something you'd like to see, feel free to contact me!

I've decided to change the forecast sections of the web site, weathertheevent.com from a national perspective to a SE US and NC perspective. This is where I live and I feel much more comfortable providing forecasts for these regions versus the entire US. Now if someone needs a 4cast for other parts of the country I'll be happy to provide it.

After last weeks series of winter weather episodes, this week has been tranquail and much of the same should continue through the middle of next week, with a nice warming trend. Then another potential winter storm takes shape late next week. There is plenty of time to look at the potential storm and its consequences.

Last week all of the attention was on the west coast as a series of powerful storms hit. How things change in a matter of days!  Now, a ridge is beginning to build in the west while a cold trough is developing in the east, where it has been unseasonable warm. At the same time, a split flow regieme is forming. This all sets the stage of potential winter storm action in the east. Models are hinting at a Miller A type system forming in the Gulf Thursday and pushing up the coast Friday and Saturday. Even longer term shows the potential for more winter storm action.

These storms and talk of storms will keep us meteorologist in the east on our toes during the next few weeks.  This beats the stagnant, dominant SE ridge in place the last several months. Action could be fast and furious. Of course, it's impossible to pin point any type of details at this time, but if you're a skier, it may be time to make reservations on the slopes from NC to Maine through the end of the month......