In the more short term range, a deep east coast trough will develop later next week bringing another spell of below n0rmal temperatures. Since there is no blocking taking place, the trough will be rather progressive in nature and scoot out by late next weekend. The models have been shaky, at best, in the mid range, so it's difficult to pinpoint exact details beyond 72hrs.

If there is something you'd like to see, feel free to contact me!

After last weeks series of winter weather episodes, this week has been tranquail and much of the same should continue through the middle of next week, with a nice warming trend. Then another potential winter storm takes shape late next week. There is plenty of time to look at the potential storm and its consequences.

These storms and talk of storms will keep us meteorologist in the east on our toes during the next few weeks.  This beats the stagnant, dominant SE ridge in place the last several months. Action could be fast and furious. Of course, it's impossible to pin point any type of details at this time, but if you're a skier, it may be time to make reservations on the slopes from NC to Maine through the end of the month......

I enjoy weather forecasting, but when the models have been as bad as they have been during the last several weeks it makes me want to pull out the rest of my receding hair!  I guess it's to be expected, since the models have difficulty with the fast Pacific flow. So is life!

Starting today, I'm going to include one of my favorite websites below. Enjoy!

PSU's Ewall



I get most of my model data from here...great site!

The immediate east coast remains unseasonably warm as the persistant SE ridge pumps plenty of warm air into the region. This ridge will begin to be beat down during the week as a series of cold fronts push the dome of high pressure further out to sea.  There will be little, in the form of winter weather during the coming week, but this my change by late into the weekend. Models indicate a storm developing along the east coast late into the weekend, zooming up the east the coast early next week. This is a long ways off, but bears watching.

The pattern also looks to change to a west coast ridge, east coast trough by early next week.

I mentioned yesterday it would be great to be a skier out west during the coming days. Talk about fresh powder. The Sierras could see upwards of 6-8" an hour snowfall rates over the weekend...holy cow!  I guess getting to the resorts would be tough!  5 to 6' of snow won't be unheard of after all is said and done. Incredible!!

Fast Pacific flow across the remainder of the US will keep things rather mild with no major storms during the coming days. It could rain in the Ohio valley late into the weekend, but no big deal.

A more powerful storm will develop by late next week across the plains into the east.  With little cold air in place, expect mainly a rain event south of the lakes. Behind the storm, more cold air will enter the picture and if any storm tries to take shape, as some models point to, then winter weather would be more prominent.

During the coming days, the ridge will slide off of the coast leading to a winter thaw east of the Rockies.  The parade of storms will continue along the west coast and into the inter-mountain west.

NOW would be the time to go skiing in the west! If I could only get away.

Could we be in for a pattern change?  Long range models indicate by mid-January a cold and stormy pattern could develop along the east coast with ridging taking over in the west. It's a ways off, but worth mentioning.